EARLY WARNING AND PREDICTING OF COVID-19 USING ZERO-INFLATED NEGATIVE BINOMIAL REGRESSION MODEL AND NEGATIVE BINOMIAL REGRESSION MODEL

Abstract Background It is difficult to detect the outbreak of emergency infectious disease based on the exiting surveillance system.Here we investigate the utility of the Baidu Search Index, an indicator of how large of a keyword is in Baidu’s search volume, in the early warning and predicting the epidemic trend of COVID-19.Methods The daily numb